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Prediction Markets

Bet virtual points on real-world questions — politics, crypto, sports, and more. Odds and payouts are calculated on the server; your browser only sends your choice and bet amount.

1. What is a prediction market?

Each market is a question with a future outcome — for example, “Will BTC close above $100k this month?” You buy a side (Yes or No, or one of several choices) with points. When the market is resolved, winners share the pool.

2. Where to find markets

Open Hot Predictions on the sidebar for trending cards, or Prediction Markets for the full list with search and categories. Tap a card to open the detail panel and place a bet.

3. Yes / No markets

The most common format: two sides, Yes and No. The green bar shows how much of the pool is on Yes (%). The ×odds number is an estimate of your multiplier if that side wins — it changes as more people bet.

4. Multi-choice markets

Some questions have three or more outcomes (e.g. Team A / Draw / Team B). Pick one option; only that outcome’s bettors share the pool when it wins. Each choice shows its own odds and pool share.

5. How pool odds work

PicksMarket uses a parimutuel (pool) model: all bets go into one pot. If your side wins, you receive a share proportional to your bet vs. the winning side’s total pool. Fewer winners on your side → higher payout per winner. Odds shown on screen are indicative and update live.

6. Placing a bet

Log in, open a market, select Yes, No, or an outcome tab, enter points (slider or manual), and confirm. Points are deducted immediately. You can bet on open markets only — betting closes before resolution.

7. Settlement & payouts

When the real-world result is known, the operator resolves the market. Winning bets are paid automatically; losing bets receive 0. Unresolved markets stay open for betting. Check My Page for balance and bet history after settlement.